Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.655965 0.849641 1.068587 1.331284 1.634796 1.971498 2.370270
2025-03-30 0.417304 0.664684 0.980896 1.400162 1.927250 2.554632 3.344341
2025-04-06 0.257790 0.515314 0.888669 1.431678 2.165325 3.089076 4.306669
2025-04-13 0.144279 0.379465 0.771818 1.398082 2.302997 3.500233 5.140779
2025-04-20 0.083475 0.296155 0.704111 1.411967 2.493947 3.983074 6.085403
2025-04-27 0.046462 0.233311 0.647982 1.426635 2.677915 4.459074 7.036684
2025-05-04 0.020756 0.170344 0.567675 1.382097 2.761033 4.791438 7.801659
2025-05-11 0.007347 0.121061 0.493419 1.329269 2.818323 5.081469 8.511663
2025-05-18 0.002453 0.093746 0.457008 1.336734 2.968094 5.508200 9.422179
2025-05-25 0.000318 0.065887 0.403072 1.296516 3.029614 5.800098 10.144883
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.057278 0.403028 1.368202 3.287698 6.400087 11.326988
2025-06-08 NaN 0.043298 0.375238 1.372270 3.423059 6.811512 12.241517
2025-06-15 NaN 0.039999 0.388743 1.476997 3.753727 7.550705 13.671979
2025-06-22 NaN 0.034013 0.386915 1.544652 4.019837 8.196567 14.980784
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026503 0.371295 1.575074 4.216790 8.737025 16.144168
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017108 0.332674 1.537554 4.278596 9.057768 16.981799
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012244 0.314688 1.551501 4.440640 9.546668 18.083743
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008585 0.298507 1.566688 4.604331 10.040945 19.201193
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004538 0.264154 1.518976 4.633890 10.307830 19.970434
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001965 0.230309 1.462505 4.638403 10.529125 20.670086
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001032 0.216847 1.470411 4.780465 10.990568 21.753857
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000287 0.191215 1.427456 4.806307 11.247735 22.517117
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000209 0.197030 1.503932 5.103952 11.991632 24.066874